G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP7695
DP7695 Do terms-of-trade effects matter for trade agreements? Evidence from WTO countries
Rodney D Ludema; Anna Mayda
发表日期2010-02-14
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要In the literature on the economics of international trade institutions, a key question is whether or not terms-of-trade effects drive international trade agreements. Recent empirical work addressing terms-of-trade effects has been restricted to non-WTO countries or accession countries, which differ markedly from existing WTO members and account for only a tiny fraction of world trade. This paper investigates whether MFN tariffs set by existing WTO members in the Uruguay round are consistent with the terms-of-trade hypothesis. We present a model of multilateral trade negotiations featuring free riding on MFN that leads the resulting tariff schedule to display terms-of-trade effects. Specifically, the model predicts that the level of the importer?s tariff resulting from negotiations should be negatively related to the product of exporter concentration, as measured by a Herfindahl-Hirschman index (sum of squared export shares), and the importer?s market power, as measured by the inverse elasticity of export supply, on a product-by-product basis. We test this hypothesis using data on tariffs, trade and production across more than 30 WTO countries and find strong support. We estimate that the internalization of terms of trade effects through WTO negotiations has lowered the average tariff of these countries by about 20% compared to its non-cooperative level.
主题International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词Free riding Mfn clause Terms-of-trade effects
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp7695
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536532
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Rodney D Ludema,Anna Mayda. DP7695 Do terms-of-trade effects matter for trade agreements? Evidence from WTO countries. 2010.
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