G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP7783
DP7783 A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade
Miklós Koren; Roc Armenter
发表日期2010-04-12
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要A number of stylized facts have been documented about the extensive margin of trade - which firms export, and how many products they send to how many destinations. We argue that the sparse nature of trade data is crucial to understanding these stylized facts. Typically the number of observations - that is, total shipments - is low relative to the number of possible classifications - e.g., countries and product codes. We propose a statistical model to account for the sparsity of trade data. We formalize the assignment of shipments to categories as balls falling into bins. The balls-and-bins model quantitatively reproduces the prevalence of zero product-level trade flows across export destinations. The model also accounts for firm-level facts: as in the data, most firms export a single product to a single country but these firms represent a tiny fraction of total exports. In contrast, the balls-and-bins model cannot reproduce the small fraction of exporters among U.S. firms. We discuss the implications for identifying the relevant model of the extensive margin in trade.
主题International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词International trade Extensive margin Sparse trade
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp7783
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536619
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Miklós Koren,Roc Armenter. DP7783 A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade. 2010.
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