Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP8014 |
DP8014 Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility | |
Luca Antonio Ricci; PIerpaolo Benigno; Paolo Surico | |
发表日期 | 2010-09-23 |
出版年 | 2010 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run productivity growth and (ii) a rise in the variance of productivity growth. Evidence based on U.S. time series and on an international panel strongly supports these predictions. The empirical specifications featuring the variance of productivity growth can account for two U.S. episodes which a linear model based only on long-run productivity growth cannot fully explain. These are the decline in long-run unemployment over the 1980s and its rise during the late 2000s. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics |
关键词 | Downward wage rigidities Productivity Unemployment Volatility |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp8014 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536851 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Luca Antonio Ricci,PIerpaolo Benigno,Paolo Surico. DP8014 Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility. 2010. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。