G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8080
DP8080 Asset Prices, News Shocks and the Current Account
Marcel Fratzscher; Roland Straub
发表日期2010-10-24
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要We analyze the relationship between asset prices and current account positions estimating a Bayesian VAR for a broad set of 42 industrialized and emerging market countries. To derive model-based identifying restrictions, we model asset price shocks as news shocks about future productivity in a two-country DSGE model. Such shocks are found to exert sizeable effects on the current account positions of countries. Moreover, the effects are highly heterogeneous across countries, for instance following a 10 percent shock to domestic equity prices relative to the rest of the world the US trade balance will worsen by 1.0 percentage points, but much less so for most other economies. We find that this heterogeneity appears to be linked to the financial market depth and equity home bias of countries. Moreover, the channels via wealth effects and via the real exchange rate are important for understanding the heterogeneity in the transmission.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Asset prices Bayesian var Current account Financial markets Home bias Identification News shocks Wealth effects
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8080
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/536917
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Marcel Fratzscher,Roland Straub. DP8080 Asset Prices, News Shocks and the Current Account. 2010.
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