G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8232
DP8232 Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets
Martin Eichenbaum; Sérgio Rebelo; Craig Burnside
发表日期2011-02-08
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要Some booms in housing prices are followed by busts. Others are not. In either case it is difficult to find observable fundamentals that are correlated with price movements. We develop a model that is consistent with these observations. Agents have heterogeneous expectations about long-run fundamentals but change their views because of "social dynamics". Agents meet randomly and those with tighter priors are more likely to convert other agents to their beliefs. The model generates a "fad": the fraction of the population with a particular view rises and then falls. Depending on which agent is correct about fundamentals, these fads generate boom-busts or protracted booms.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Housing prices Real estate
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8232
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537070
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Martin Eichenbaum,Sérgio Rebelo,Craig Burnside. DP8232 Understanding Booms and Busts in Housing Markets. 2011.
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