G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8274
DP8274 No News in Business Cycles
Mario Forni; Luca Sala; Luca Gambetti
发表日期2011-02-28
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要This paper uses a structural, large dimensional factor model to evaluate the role of 'news' shocks (shocks with a delayed effect on productivity) in generating the business cycle. We find that (i) existing small-scale VECM models are affected by 'non-fundamentalness' and therefore fail to recover the correct shock and impulse response functions; (ii) news shocks have a limited role in explaining the business cycle; (iii) their effects are in line with what predicted by standard neoclassical theory; (iv) the bulk of business cycle fluctuations is explained by shocks unrelated to technology.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Fundamentalness Invertibility News shocks Structural factor model
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8274
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537111
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mario Forni,Luca Sala,Luca Gambetti. DP8274 No News in Business Cycles. 2011.
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