G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8381
DP8381 Household Leverage and the Recession
Thomas Philippon; Virgiliu Midrigan
发表日期2011-05-30
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要A salient feature of the recent U.S. recession is that output and employment have declined more in regions (states, counties) where household leverage had increased more during the credit boom. This pattern is difficult to explain with standard models of financing frictions. We propose a theory that can account for these cross-sectional facts. We study a cash-in-advance economy in which home equity borrowing, alongside public money, is used to conduct transactions. A decline in home equity borrowing tightens the cash-in-advance constraint, thus triggering a recession. We show that the evidence on house prices, leverage and employment across US regions identifies the key parameters of the model. Models estimated with cross-sectional evidence display high sensitivity of real activity to nominal credit shocks. Since home equity borrowing and public money are, in the model, perfect substitutes, our counter-factual experiments suggest that monetary policy actions have significantly reduced the severity of the recent recession.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Cash-in-advance Household credit Housing Leverage monetary policy Recession
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8381
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537229
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Thomas Philippon,Virgiliu Midrigan. DP8381 Household Leverage and the Recession. 2011.
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