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来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8438
DP8438 Global crises and equity market contagion
Geert Bekaert; Michael Ehrmann; Marcel Fratzscher; Arnaud Mehl
发表日期2011-06-13
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要Using the 2007-2009 financial crisis as a laboratory, we analyze the transmission of crises to country-industry equity portfolios in 55 countries. We use an asset pricing framework with global and local factors to predict crisis returns, defining unexplained increases in factor loadings as indicative of contagion. We find evidence of systematic contagion from US markets and from the global financial sector, but the effects are very small. By contrast, there has been systematic and substantial contagion from domestic equity markets to individual domestic equity portfolios, with its severity inversely related to the quality of countries? economic fundamentals and policies. Consequently, we reject the globalization hypothesis that links the transmission of the crisis to the extent of global exposure. Instead, we confirm the old "wake-up call" hypothesis, with markets and investors focusing substantially more on idiosyncratic, country-specific characteristics during the crisis.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Financial policies Contagion Country risk Current account Equity markets Factor model Financial crisis Fx reserves Global transmission market integration
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8438
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537301
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Geert Bekaert,Michael Ehrmann,Marcel Fratzscher,et al. DP8438 Global crises and equity market contagion. 2011.
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