G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8595
DP8595 Weak Governments and Trade Agreements
Marcelo Olarreaga; Jean-Louis Arcand; Laura Zoratto
发表日期2011-10-01
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要The recent theoretical literature on the determinants of trade agreements has stressed the importance of political gains, such as credibility, as a rationale for trade agreements. The empirical literature, however, has lagged behind in the estimation of the economic gains or losses associated with these politically motivated trade agreements. This paper fills that gap by providing estimates of the economic impact of politically and economically motivated trade agreements. We find that credibility gains play a role in increasing the probability of two countries signing an agreement. Moreover, agreements with a stronger political motivation are more trade creating than agreements that are signed for pure market access / economic reasons, and the value for the government of solving its time inconsistency problems through trade agreements is estimated at an average of 1.8% of GDP, which compares quite well with the traditional estimates of the economic gains from trade.
主题International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词Credibility Political economy Trade agreements
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8595
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537432
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Marcelo Olarreaga,Jean-Louis Arcand,Laura Zoratto. DP8595 Weak Governments and Trade Agreements. 2011.
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