G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8601
DP8601 Political Uncertainty and Risk Premia
Pietro Veronesi; Luboš Pástor
发表日期2011-10-01
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要We study the pricing of political uncertainty in a general equilibrium model of government policy choice. We find that political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in poorer economic conditions. Political uncertainty reduces the value of the implicit put protection that the government provides to the market. It also makes stocks more volatile and more correlated when the economy is weak. In addition, we find that government policies cannot be judged by the stock market response to their announcement. Announcements of deeper reforms tend to elicit less favorable stock market reactions.
主题Financial Economics ; Public Economics
关键词Bayesian Government Learning Political Put risk premium Uncertainty
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8601
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537438
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pietro Veronesi,Luboš Pástor. DP8601 Political Uncertainty and Risk Premia. 2011.
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