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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP8679 |
DP8679 A Pyrrhic Victory? Bank Bailouts and Sovereign Credit Risk | |
Viral Acharya; Philipp Schnabl; Itamar Drechsler | |
发表日期 | 2011-12-01 |
出版年 | 2011 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We show that financial sector bailouts and sovereign credit risk are intimately linked. A bailout benefits the economy by ameliorating the under-investment problem of the financial sector. However, increasing taxation of the non-financial sector to fund the bailout may be inefficient since it weakens its incentive to invest, decreasing growth. Instead, the sovereign may choose to fund the bailout by diluting existing government bondholders, resulting in a deterioration of the sovereign's creditworthiness. This deterioration feeds back to the financial sector, reducing the value of its guarantees and existing bond holdings as well as increasing its sensitivity to future sovereign shocks. We provide empirical evidence for this two-way feedback between financial and sovereign credit risk using data on the credit default swaps (CDS) of the Eurozone countries and their banks for 2007-11. We show that the announcement of financial sector bailouts was associated with an immediate, unprecedented widening of sovereign CDS spreads and narrowing of bank CDS spreads; however, post-bailouts there emerged a significant co-movement between bank CDS and sovereign CDS, even after controlling for banks' equity performance, the latter being consistent with an effect of the quality of sovereign guarantees on bank credit risk. |
主题 | Financial Economics |
关键词 | Financial crises Forbearance Deleveraging Sovereign debt Growth Credit default swaps |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp8679 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537516 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Viral Acharya,Philipp Schnabl,Itamar Drechsler. DP8679 A Pyrrhic Victory? Bank Bailouts and Sovereign Credit Risk. 2011. |
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