G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP8888
DP8888 Does the Current Account Still Matter?
Maurice Obstfeld
发表日期2012-03-01
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要Do global current account imbalances still matter in a world of deep international financial markets where gross two-way financial flows often dwarf the net flows measured in the current account? Contrary to a complete markets or 'consenting adults' view of the world, large current account imbalances, while very possibly warranted by fundamentals and welcome, can also signal elevated macroeconomic and financial stresses, as was arguably the case in the mid-2000s. Furthermore, the increasingly big valuation changes in countries? net international investment positions, while potentially important in risk allocation, cannot be relied upon systematically to offset the changes in national wealth implied by the current account. The same factors that dictate careful attention to global imbalances also imply, however, that data on gross international financial flows and positions are central to any assessment of financial stability risks. The balance sheet mismatches of leveraged entities provide the most direct indicators of potential instability, much more so than do global imbalances, though the imbalances may well be a symptom that deeper financial threats are gathering.
主题Financial Economics ; International Macroeconomics
关键词Current account External adjustment problems Financial stability Global imbalances Gross financial flows Intertemporal budget constraint Net international investment position
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp8888
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537724
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Maurice Obstfeld. DP8888 Does the Current Account Still Matter?. 2012.
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