| 来源类型 | Discussion paper
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| 来源ID | DP8962
|
| DP8962 The Dictator Effect: How Long Years in Office Affects Economic Development in Africa and the Near East |
| Jan Luiten van Zanden
|
| 发表日期 | 2012-05-23
|
| 出版年 | 2012
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | This paper contributes to the growing literature on the links between political regimes and economic development by studying the effects of years in office on economic development. The hypothesis is that dictators who stay in office for a long time period will become increasingly corrupt, and that their poor governance will impact on economic growth (which is reduced), inflation (which increases) and the quality of institutions (which deteriorates). This may be related to the fact that their time horizon is shrinking: they develop (in the terminology developed by Olson) from ?stationary bandits? into ?roving bandits?. Or they may get caught into a ?disinformation trap?, caused by the ?dictator dilemma?. We test these hypotheses and indeed find strong evidence for the existence of a dictator effect: the length of the rule is negatively related to economic growth and the quality of democratic institutions, and positively related to inflation. This effect is particularly strong in young states and in ?single-party? regimes. The negative effect of years in office was almost constant in time and did not disappear after about 1992. |
| 主题 | Development Economics
|
| 关键词 | Political institutions
Dictatorships
Economic growth
Africa
|
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp8962
|
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/537814
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Jan Luiten van Zanden. DP8962 The Dictator Effect: How Long Years in Office Affects Economic Development in Africa and the Near East. 2012.
|
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
