| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP9423 |
| DP9423 An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic | |
| Jeremy Greenwood; Michele Tertilt; Philipp Kircher; Cezar Santos | |
| 发表日期 | 2013-04-14 |
| 出版年 | 2013 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Eleven percent of the Malawian population is HIV infected. Eighteen percent of sexual encounters are casual. A condom is used one quarter of the time. A choice-theoretic general equilibrium search model is constructed to analyze the Malawian epidemic. In the developed framework, people select between different sexual practices while knowing the inherent risk. The analysis suggests that the efficacy of public policy depends upon the induced behavioral changes and general equilibrium effects that are typically absent in epidemiological studies and small-scale field experiments. For some interventions (some forms of promoting condoms or marriage), the quantitative exercise suggests that these effects may increase HIV prevalence, while for others (such as male circumcision or increased incomes) they strengthen the effectiveness of the intervention. The underlying channels giving rise to these effects are discussed in detail. |
| 主题 | Development Economics ; Public Economics |
| 关键词 | Bayesian learning Circumcision Condoms Disease transmission Hiv/aids Malawi Marriage Policy intervention Search Sex markets |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp9423 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/538259 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jeremy Greenwood,Michele Tertilt,Philipp Kircher,et al. DP9423 An Equilibrium Model of the African HIV/AIDS Epidemic. 2013. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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