G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP10089
DP10089 This mine is mine! How minerals fuel conflicts in Africa
Nicolas Berman; Dominic Rohner; Mathieu Couttenier
发表日期2014-08-03
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要This paper studies empirically the impact of mining on conflicts in Africa. Using novel data, we combine geo-referenced information over the 1997-2010 period on the location and characteristics of violent events and mining extraction of 27 minerals. Working with a grid covering all African countries at a spatial resolution of 0.5x0.5 degree, we find a sizeable impact of mining activity on the probability/intensity of conflict at the local level. This is both true for low-level violence (riots, protests), as well as for organized violence (battles). Our main identification strategy exploits exogenous variations in the minerals' world prices; however the results are robust to various alternative strategies, both in the cross-section and panel dimensions. Our estimates suggest that the historical rise in mineral prices observed over the period has contributed to up to 21 percent of the average country-level violence in Africa. The second part of the paper investigates whether minerals, by increasing the financial capacities of fighting groups, contribute to diffuse violence over time and space, therefore affecting the intensity and duration of wars. We find direct evidence that the appropriation of a mining area by a group increases the probability that this group perpetrates future violence elsewhere. This is consistent with "feasibility" theories of conflict. We also find that secessionist insurgencies are more likely in mining areas, which is in line with recent theories of secessionist conflict.
主题Development Economics
关键词Minerals Mines Conflict Natural resources Rebellion
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp10089
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/538922
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nicolas Berman,Dominic Rohner,Mathieu Couttenier. DP10089 This mine is mine! How minerals fuel conflicts in Africa. 2014.
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