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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP10123 |
DP10123 Perceiving Prospects Properly | |
jakub steiner; Colin Stewart | |
发表日期 | 2014-08-31 |
出版年 | 2014 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to the winner?s curse. Statistically unbiased perception systematically overvalues the chosen action because it fails to account for the possibility that noise is responsible for making the preferred action appear to be optimal. The optimal perception patterns share key features with prospect theory, namely, overweighting of small probability events (and corresponding underweighting of high probability events), status quo bias, and reference- dependent S-shaped valuations. These biases arise to correct for the winner?s curse effect. |
主题 | Industrial Organization |
关键词 | Evolution Perception bias Prospect theory |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp10123 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/538956 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | jakub steiner,Colin Stewart. DP10123 Perceiving Prospects Properly. 2014. |
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