G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP10123
DP10123 Perceiving Prospects Properly
jakub steiner; Colin Stewart
发表日期2014-08-31
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要When an agent chooses between prospects, noise in information processing generates an effect akin to the winner?s curse. Statistically unbiased perception systematically overvalues the chosen action because it fails to account for the possibility that noise is responsible for making the preferred action appear to be optimal. The optimal perception patterns share key features with prospect theory, namely, overweighting of small probability events (and corresponding underweighting of high probability events), status quo bias, and reference- dependent S-shaped valuations. These biases arise to correct for the winner?s curse effect.
主题Industrial Organization
关键词Evolution Perception bias Prospect theory
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp10123
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/538956
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
jakub steiner,Colin Stewart. DP10123 Perceiving Prospects Properly. 2014.
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