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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP10124 |
DP10124 The Bond Market: An Inflation-Targeter's Best Friend | |
Andrew Rose | |
发表日期 | 2014-09-14 |
出版年 | 2014 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper explores the relationship between inflation and the existence of a publicly-traded, long-maturity, nominal, domestic-currency bond market. Bond holders suffer from inflation and could be a potent anti-inflationary force; I ask whether their presence is apparent empirically. I use a panel data approach, examining the difference in inflation before and after the introduction of a bond market. My primary focus is on countries with inflation targeting regimes, though I also examine countries with hard fixed exchange rates and other monetary regimes. Inflation-targeting countries with a bond market experience inflation approximately three to four percentage points lower than those without a bond market. This effect is economically and statistically significant; it is also insensitive to a variety of estimation strategies, including using political and fiscal instrumental variables. The existence of a bond market has little effect on inflation in other monetary regimes, as do indexed or foreign-denominated bonds. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics |
关键词 | Currency Domestic Effect Empirical Fixed Long Maturity Nominal Panel Risk |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp10124 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/538957 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andrew Rose. DP10124 The Bond Market: An Inflation-Targeter's Best Friend. 2014. |
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