全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): DP10348 Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence from the Great War of Africa

G2TT

来源类型	Discussion paper
规范类型	论文
来源ID	DP10348
	DP10348 Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence from the Great War of Africa
	Fabrizio Zilibotti; Dominic Rohner; Michael König
发表日期	2015-01-11
出版年	2015
语种	英语
摘要	We study from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective how a network of military alliances and enmities affects the intensity of a conflict. The model combines elements from network theory and from the politico-economic theory of conflict. We postulate a Tullock contest success function augmented by an externality: each group?s strength is increased by the fighting effort of its allies, and weakened by the fighting effort of its rivals. We obtain a closed form characterization of the Nash equilibrium of the fighting game, and of how the network structure affects individual and total fighting efforts. We then perform an empirical analysis using data on the Second Congo War, a conflict that involves many groups in a complex network of informal alliances and rivalries. We estimate the fighting externalities, and use these to infer the extent to which the conflict intensity can be reduced through (i) removing individual groups involved in the conflict; (ii) pacification policies aimed at alleviating animosity among groups.
主题	Development Economics
关键词	Africa Alliances Civil conflict Congo war Contest success function Enmities Network Rainfall
URL	https://cepr.org/publications/dp10348
来源智库	Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539179
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fabrizio Zilibotti,Dominic Rohner,Michael König. DP10348 Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence from the Great War of Africa. 2015.