G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP10353
DP10353 Fiscal Multipliers in Recessions
Matthew B Canzoneri; Harris Dellas; Behzad Diba; Fabrice Collard
发表日期2015-01-18
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要The Great Recession, and the fiscal response to it, has revived interest in the size of fiscal multipliers. Standard business cycle models have difficulties generating multipliers greater than one. And they also cannot produce any significant state-dependence in the size of the multipliers over the business cycle. In this paper we employ a variant of the Curdia-Woodford model of costly financial intermediation and show that fiscal multipliers can be strongly state dependent in a countercyclical manner. In particular, a fiscal expansion during a recession may lead to multiplier values exceeding two, while a similar expansion during an economic boom would produce multipliers falling short of unity. This pattern obtains if the spread (the financial friction) is more sensitive to fiscal policy during recessions than during expansions, a feature that is present in the data. Our results are consistent with recent empirical work documenting the state contingency of multipliers.
主题International Macroeconomics
关键词Government spending multipliers Cyclicality Financial frictions
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp10353
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539184
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Matthew B Canzoneri,Harris Dellas,Behzad Diba,et al. DP10353 Fiscal Multipliers in Recessions. 2015.
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