| 来源类型 | Discussion paper
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| 来源ID | DP10393
|
| DP10393 Premature Deindustrialization |
| Dani Rodrik
|
| 发表日期 | 2015-02-08
|
| 出版年 | 2015
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | I document a significant deindustrialization trend in recent decades, that goes considerably beyond the advanced, post-industrial economies. The hump-shaped relationship between industrialization (measured by employment or output shares) and incomes has shifted downwards and moved closer to the origin. This means countries are running out of industrialization opportunities sooner and at much lower levels of income compared to the experience of early industrializers. Asian countries and manufactures exporters have been largely insulated from those trends, while Latin American countries have been especially hard hit. Advanced economies have lost considerable employment (especially of the low-skill type), but they have done surprisingly well in terms of manufacturing output shares at constant prices. While these trends are not very recent, the evidence suggests both globalization and labor-saving technological progress in manufacturing have been behind these developments. Premature deindustrialization has potentially significant economic and political ramifications, including lower economic growth and democratic failure. |
| 主题 | Development Economics
; International Macroeconomics
; International Trade and Regional Economics
|
| 关键词 | Deindustrialization
Industrialization
|
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp10393
|
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539224
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Dani Rodrik. DP10393 Premature Deindustrialization. 2015.
|
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