| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP10396 |
| DP10396 The International Transmission of Credit Bubbles: Theory and Policy | |
| Jaume Ventura; Alberto Martin | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-02-08 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We live in a new world economy characterized by financial globalization and historically low interest rates. This environment is conducive to countries experiencing credit bubbles that have large macroeconomic effects at home and are quickly propagated abroad. In previous work, we built on the theory of rational bubbles to develop a framework to think about the origins and domestic effects of these credit bubbles. This paper extends that framework to two-country setting and studies the channels through which credit bubbles are transmitted across countries. We find that there are two main channels that work through the interest rate and the terms of trade. The former constitutes a negative spillover, while the latter constitutes a negative spillover in the short run but a positive one in the long run. We study both cooperative and noncooperative policies in this world. The interest-rate and terms-of-trade spillovers produce policy externalities that make the noncooperative outcome suboptimal. |
| 主题 | Financial Economics ; International Macroeconomics |
| 关键词 | Asset bubbles Capital controls Exchange rates Financial globalization Interest rates International capital controls |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp10396 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539227 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jaume Ventura,Alberto Martin. DP10396 The International Transmission of Credit Bubbles: Theory and Policy. 2015. |
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