G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP10873
DP10873 Electoral Incentives, Term Limits and the Sustainability of Peace
Nicolas Sahuguet; Maurizio Zanardi; Paola Conconi
发表日期2015-10-11
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要One of the few stylized facts in international relations is that democracies, unlike autocracies, almost never fight each other. We develop a theoretical model to examine the sustainability of international peace between democracies and autocracies, where the crucial difference between these two political regimes is whether or not policymakers are subject to periodic elections. We show that the fear of losing office can make it less tempting for democratic leaders to wage war against other countries. Crucially, this discipline effect can only be at work if incumbent leaders can be re-elected, suggesting that democracies with term limits should be more conflict prone, particularly when the executive is serving the last possible term. These results rationalize recent empirical findings on how term limits affect the propensity of democracies to engage in conflicts.
主题International Trade and Regional Economics
关键词Democratic peace Elections Interstate conflicts Term limits.
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp10873
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539703
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nicolas Sahuguet,Maurizio Zanardi,Paola Conconi. DP10873 Electoral Incentives, Term Limits and the Sustainability of Peace. 2015.
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