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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP10905 |
DP10905 Global Imbalances and Currency Wars at the ZLB | |
Ricardo Caballero; Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas; Emmanuel Farhi | |
发表日期 | 2015-10-25 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper explores the consequences of extremely low equilibrium real interest rates in a world with integrated but heterogenous capital markets, and nominal rigidities. In this context, we establish five main results: (i) Economies experiencing liquidity traps pull others into a similar situation by running current account surpluses; (ii) Reserve currencies have a tendency to bear a disproportionate share of the global liquidity trap?a phenomenon we dub the "reserve currency paradox;" (iii) Beggar-thy-neighbor exchange rate devaluations stimulate the domestic domestic economy at the expense of other economies; (iv) While more price and wage flexibility exacerbates the risk of a deflationary global liquidity trap, it is the more rigid economies that bear the brunt of the recession; (v) (Safe) Public debt issuances and increases in government spending anywhere are expansionary everywhere, and more so when there is some degree of price or wage flexibility. We use our model to shed light on the evolution of global imbalances, interest rates, and exchange rates since the beginning of the global financial crisis. |
主题 | Financial Economics ; International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
关键词 | Capital flows Current account Exhorbitant privilege Forward guidance Inflation rate Interest rates Liquidity and safety traps Recessions Reserve currency Safe assets |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp10905 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539735 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ricardo Caballero,Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas,Emmanuel Farhi. DP10905 Global Imbalances and Currency Wars at the ZLB. 2015. |
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