G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP11065
DP11065 Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?
M. Ayhan Kose; Tatiana Didier; Franziska Ohnsorge; Lei (Sandy) Ye
发表日期2016-01-24
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要Emerging markets (EM) face their fifth consecutive year of slowing growth and a possibly longer period of sluggish performance than previously thought. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the nature of and the appropriate policy responses to the growth slowdown in EM. It reports three main results. First, the slowdown is synchronous and protracted, affecting a sizable number of EM, especially large ones. Second, it has been driven by both external factors, including weak world trade, low commodity prices, and tightening financial conditions; and domestic factors, including slowdown in productivity growth, bouts of policy uncertainty, and an erosion of policy buffers. Both structural and cyclical factors have contributed to the slowdown. Third, the room for accommodative cyclical fiscal and monetary policies is limited in many EM, lending urgency to putting in place structural reforms to upgrade governance structures, improve business environments, raise human and physical capital, and manage demographic pressures.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance
关键词Emerging markets Growth slowdown Policy space Fiscal policy Structural reforms monetary policy
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp11065
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539894
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
M. Ayhan Kose,Tatiana Didier,Franziska Ohnsorge,et al. DP11065 Slowdown in Emerging Markets: Rough Patch or Prolonged Weakness?. 2016.
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