G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP11110
DP11110 The Causal Effect of Military Conscription on Crime and the Labor Market
Randi Hjalmarsson; Matthew Lindquist
发表日期2016-02-14
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要This paper uses detailed individual register data to identify the causal effect of mandatory peacetime military conscription in Sweden on the lives of young men born in the 1970s and 80s. Because draftees are positively selected into service based on their draft board test performance, our primary identification strategy uses the random assignment of potential conscripts to draft board officiators who have relatively high or low tendencies to place draftees into service in an instrumental variable framework. We find that military service significantly increases post-service crime (overall and across multiple crime categories) between ages 23 and 30. These results are driven primarily by young men with pre-service criminal histories and who come from low socioeconomic status households. Though we find evidence of an incapacitation effect concurrent with conscription, it is unfortunately not enough to break a cycle of crime that has already begun prior to service. Analyses of labor market outcomes tell similar post-service stories: individuals from disadvantaged backgrounds have significantly lower income, and are more likely to receive unemployment and welfare benefits, as a result of service, while service significantly increases income and does not impact welfare and unemployment for those at the other end of the distribution. Finally, we provide suggestive evidence that peer effects may play an important role in explaining the unintended negative impacts of military service.
主题Labour Economics ; Public Economics
关键词Conscription Crime Criminal behaviour Draft Incapacitation Labor market Military conscription Military draft Unemployment
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp11110
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/539930
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Randi Hjalmarsson,Matthew Lindquist. DP11110 The Causal Effect of Military Conscription on Crime and the Labor Market. 2016.
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