| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP11203 |
| DP11203 Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank | |
| Ulf Söderström; Stefan Laséen | |
| 发表日期 | 2016-03-31 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We evaluate forecasts made in real time to support monetary policy decisions at Sveriges Riksbank (the central bank of Sweden) from 2007 to 2013. We compare forecasts made with a DSGE model and a BVAR model with judgemental forecasts published by the Riksbank, and we evaluate the usefulness of conditioning information for the model-based forecasts. We also study the perceived usefulness of model forecasts for central bank policymakers when producing the judgemental forecasts. |
| 主题 | Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
| 关键词 | Real-time forecasting Forecast evaluation monetary policy Inflation targeting |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp11203 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540020 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ulf Söderström,Stefan Laséen. DP11203 Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank. 2016. |
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