G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP11611
DP11611 Two Blades of Grass: The Impact of the Green Revolution
Douglas Gollin; Casper Worm Hansen; Asger Wingender
发表日期2016-11-06
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要We examine the impact of the Green Revolution, defined as the diffusion of high-yielding crop varieties (HYVs), on aggregate economic outcomes in developing countries during the second half of the 20th century. We use time variation in the development and diffusion of HYVs of 10 major crops, and the spatial variation in agro-climatically suitability for growing them, to identify the causal effects of adoption. In a sample of 84 counties, we estimate that a 10 percentage points increase in HYV adoption increases GDP per capita by about 15 percent. This effect is fully accounted for by a combination of the direct effect on crop yields, factor adjustment in agriculture, and structural transformation. Our analysis also reveals that the Green Revolution reduced fertility and that the reduction was only partly offset by decreasing mortality rates. The net effect on population growth was therefore negative.
主题Development Economics ; Macroeconomics and Growth
关键词Green revolution High yielding variety crops Productivity shock agriculture Macoeconomic development
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp11611
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540425
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Douglas Gollin,Casper Worm Hansen,Asger Wingender. DP11611 Two Blades of Grass: The Impact of the Green Revolution. 2016.
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