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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP11611 |
DP11611 Two Blades of Grass: The Impact of the Green Revolution | |
Douglas Gollin; Casper Worm Hansen; Asger Wingender | |
发表日期 | 2016-11-06 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We examine the impact of the Green Revolution, defined as the diffusion of high-yielding crop varieties (HYVs), on aggregate economic outcomes in developing countries during the second half of the 20th century. We use time variation in the development and diffusion of HYVs of 10 major crops, and the spatial variation in agro-climatically suitability for growing them, to identify the causal effects of adoption. In a sample of 84 counties, we estimate that a 10 percentage points increase in HYV adoption increases GDP per capita by about 15 percent. This effect is fully accounted for by a combination of the direct effect on crop yields, factor adjustment in agriculture, and structural transformation. Our analysis also reveals that the Green Revolution reduced fertility and that the reduction was only partly offset by decreasing mortality rates. The net effect on population growth was therefore negative. |
主题 | Development Economics ; Macroeconomics and Growth |
关键词 | Green revolution High yielding variety crops Productivity shock agriculture Macoeconomic development |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp11611 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540425 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Douglas Gollin,Casper Worm Hansen,Asger Wingender. DP11611 Two Blades of Grass: The Impact of the Green Revolution. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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