| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP11670 |
| DP11670 Melting Ice Caps and the Economic Impact of Opening the Northern Sea Route | |
| Joseph Francois; Eddy Bekkers; Hugo Rojas-Romagosa | |
| 发表日期 | 2016-11-27 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | One consequence of melting Arctic ice caps is the commercial viability of the Northern Sea Route, connecting East Asia with Europe. This represents a sizeable reduction in shipping distances and average transportation days, compared to the conventional Southern Sea Route. We examine the economic impact of opening this route in a multi-sector Eaton-Kortum model with intermediate linkages. We find remarkable shifts in trade flows between Asia and Europe, diversion of trade within Europe, heavy shipping traffic in the Arctic and a substantial drop in Suez traffic. Projected shifts in trade also imply substantial pressure on an already threatened Arctic ecosystem. |
| 主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics |
| 关键词 | Northern sea route Trade forecasting Gravity model Quantitative trade models Trade and emissions |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp11670 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540484 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Joseph Francois,Eddy Bekkers,Hugo Rojas-Romagosa. DP11670 Melting Ice Caps and the Economic Impact of Opening the Northern Sea Route. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
