| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP11887 |
| DP11887 Endogenous Asymmetric Shocks in the Eurozone. The Role of Animal Spirits | |
| Paul De Grauwe; Yuemei Ji | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-03-03 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Business cycles among Eurozone countries are highly correlated. We develop a two-country behavioral macroeconomic model in a monetary union setting where the two countries are linked with each other by international trade. The net export of country 1 depends on the output gap of country 2 and on real exchange rate movements. The synchronization of the business cycle is produced endogenously. The main channel of synchronization occurs through a propagation of “animal spirits”, i.e. waves of optimism and pessimism that become correlated internationally. We find that this propagation occurs with relatively low levels of trade integration. We analyze the role of the common central bank in this propagation mechanism. We explore the transmission of demand and supply shocks and we study how the central bank affects this transmission. We verify the main predictions of the model empirically. |
| 主题 | International Macroeconomics and Finance |
| 关键词 | Animal spirits Behavioral macroeconomics Business cycles Monetary union |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp11887 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540699 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Paul De Grauwe,Yuemei Ji. DP11887 Endogenous Asymmetric Shocks in the Eurozone. The Role of Animal Spirits. 2017. |
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