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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP11962 |
DP11962 Attrition in Randomized Control Trials: Using tracking information to correct bias | |
Karen Macours | |
发表日期 | 2017-04-13 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper starts from a review of RCT studies in development economics, and documents many studies largely ignore attrition once attrition rates are found bal- anced between treatment arms. The paper analyzes the implications of attrition for the internal and external validity of the results of a randomized experiment with balanced attrition rates, and proposes a new method to correct for attrition bias. We rely on a 10-years longitudinal data set with a final attrition rate of 10 percent, obtained after intensive tracking of migrants, and document the sensitivity of ITT estimates for schooling gains and labour market outcomes for a social program in Nicaragua. We find that not including those found during the intensive tracking leads to an overestimate of the ITT effects for the target population by more than 35 percent, and that selection into attrition is driven by observable baseline char- acteristics. We propose to correct for attrition using inverse probability weighting with estimates of weights that exploit the similarities between missing individuals and those found during an intensive tracking phase. We compare these estimates with alternative strategies using regression adjustment, standard weights, bounds or proxy information. |
主题 | Development Economics |
关键词 | Attrition Randomized control trials Long-term evaluation |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp11962 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540773 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Karen Macours. DP11962 Attrition in Randomized Control Trials: Using tracking information to correct bias. 2017. |
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