| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP12071 |
| DP12071 Endogenous Childlessness and Stages of Development | |
| Paula Gobbi; David de la Croix; Thomas Baudin | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-06-01 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Although developing countries are characterized by high average fertility rates, they are as concerned by childlessness as developed countries. Beyond natural sterility, there are two main types of childlessness: one driven by poverty and another by the high opportunity cost of childrearing. We measure the importance of the components of childlessness with a structural model of fertility and marriage. Deep parameters are identified using census data from 36 developing countries. As average education increases, poverty-driven childlessness first decreases to a minimum, and then the opportunity-driven part of childlessness increases. We show that neglecting the endogenous response of marriage and childlessness may lead to a poor understanding of the impact that social progress, such as universal primary education, may have on completed fertility. The same holds for family planning, closing the gender pay gap, and the eradication of child mortality. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics and Growth |
| 关键词 | Poverty Childlessness Marriage Education Fertility Unwanted births Structural estimation |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12071 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540882 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Paula Gobbi,David de la Croix,Thomas Baudin. DP12071 Endogenous Childlessness and Stages of Development. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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