| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP12077 |
| DP12077 Per-Capita Income and the Demand for Skills | |
| James Markusen; Justin Caron; Thibault Fally | |
| 发表日期 | 2017-06-03 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Almost all of the literature about the growth of income inequality and the relationship between skilled and unskilled wages approaches the issue from the production side of general equilibrium (skill-biased technical change, international trade). Here, we add a role for income-dependent demand interacted with factor intensities in production. We explore how income growth and trade liberalization influence the demand for skilled labor when preferences are non-homothetic and income-elastic goods are more intensive in skilled labor, an empirical regularity documented in Caron, Fally and Markusen (2014). In one experiment, counterfactual simulations show that sector neutral productivity growth, which generates shifts in consumption towards skill-intensive goods, leads to significant increases in the skill premium: in developing countries, a one percent increase in productivity leads to a 0.1 to 0.25 percent increase in the skill premium. In several countries, including China and India, simulations suggest that the historical growth experienced in the last 25 years may have led to an increase in the skill premium of more than 10%. In a second experiment, we show that trade cost reductions generate quantitatively very different outcomes once we account for non-homothetic preferences. These imply substantially less predicted net factor content of trade and allow for a shift in consumption patterns caused by trade-induced income growth. Overall, the negative effect of trade cost reductions on the skill premium predicted for developing countries under homothetic preferences (Stolper-Samuelson) is strongly mitigated, and sometimes reversed. |
| 主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics |
| 关键词 | Non-homothetic preferences Skill premium Per capita income International trade |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12077 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/540888 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | James Markusen,Justin Caron,Thibault Fally. DP12077 Per-Capita Income and the Demand for Skills. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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