G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP12213
DP12213 Goods and Factor Market Integration: A Quantitative Assessment of the EU Enlargement
Luca David Opromolla; Fernando Parro; Alessandro Sforza; Lorenzo Caliendo
发表日期2017-08-10
出版年2017
语种英语
摘要The economic effects from labor market integration are crucially affected by the extent to which countries are open to trade. In this paper we build a multi-country dynamic general equilibrium model with trade in goods and labor mobility across countries to study and quantify the economic effects of trade and labor market integration. In our model trade is costly and features households of different skills and nationalities facing costly forward-looking relocation decisions. We use the EU Labour Force Survey to construct migration flows by skill and nationality across 17 countries for the period 2002-2007. We then exploit the timing variation of the 2004 EU enlargement to estimate the elasticity of migration flows to labor mobility costs, and to identify the change in labor mobility costs associated to the actual change in policy. We apply our model and use these estimates, as well as the observed changes in tariffs, to quantify the effects from the EU enlargement. We find that new member state countries are the largest winners from the EU enlargement, and in particular unskilled labor. We find smaller welfare gains for EU-15 countries. However, in the absence of changes to trade policy, the EU-15 would have been worse off after the enlargement. We study even further the interaction effects between trade and migration policies and the role of different mechanisms in shaping our results. Our results highlight the importance of trade for the quantification of the welfare and migration effects from labor market integration.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance ; International Trade and Regional Economics ; Labour Economics ; Macroeconomics and Growth ; Public Economics
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp12213
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541024
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Luca David Opromolla,Fernando Parro,Alessandro Sforza,et al. DP12213 Goods and Factor Market Integration: A Quantitative Assessment of the EU Enlargement. 2017.
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