Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP12578 |
DP12578 China's "Great Migration'': The impact of the reduction in trade policy uncertainty | |
Giovanni Facchini; Maggie Y. Liu; Anna Mayda; Minghai Zhou | |
发表日期 | 2018-01-09 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We analyze the effect of China's integration into the world economy on workers in the country and show that one important channel of impact has been internal migration. Specifically, we study the changes in internal migration rates triggered by the reduction in trade policy uncertainty faced by Chinese exporters in the U.S. This reduction is characterized by plausibly exogenous variation across sectors, which we use to construct a local measure of treatment, at the level of a Chinese prefecture, following Bartik (1991). This allows us to estimate a difference-in-difference empirical specification based on variation across Chinese prefectures before and after 2001. We find that prefectures facing the average decline in trade policy uncertainty experience an 18 percent increase in their internal in-migration rate -- this result is driven by migrants who are ``non-hukou", skilled, and in their prime working age. Finally, in those prefectures, working hours of ``native'' unskilled workers significantly increase -- while the employment rates of neither native workers nor internal migrants change. |
主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics |
关键词 | Hukou Immigration Internal migration Trade policy uncertainty |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12578 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541389 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Giovanni Facchini,Maggie Y. Liu,Anna Mayda,et al. DP12578 China's "Great Migration'': The impact of the reduction in trade policy uncertainty. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。