| 来源类型 | Discussion paper
|
| 规范类型 | 论文
|
| 来源ID | DP12622
|
| DP12622 Religions, Fertility, and Growth in South-East Asia |
| David de la Croix
|
| 发表日期 | 2018-01-18
|
| 出版年 | 2018
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | We investigate the extent to which religions' pronatalism is detrimental to growth via the fertility/education channel. Using censuses from South-East Asia, we first estimate an empirical model of fertility and show that having a religious affiliation significantly raises fertility, especially for couples with intermediate to high education levels. We next use these estimates to identify the parameters of a structural model of fertility choice. On average, Catholicism is the most pro-child religion (increasing total spending on children), followed by Buddhism, while Islam has a strong pro-birth component (redirecting spending from quality to quantity). We show that pro-child religions depress growth in the early stages of growth by lowering savings, physical capital, and labor supply. These effects account for 10% to 30% of the actual growth gaps between countries over 1950-1980. At later stages of growth, pro-birth religions lower human capital accumulation, explaining between 10% to 20% of the growth gap between Muslim and Buddhist countries over 1980-2010. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics and Growth
|
| 关键词 | Quality-quantity tradeoff
Catholicism
Buddhism
Islam
indirect inference
Education
|
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12622
|
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541434
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
David de la Croix. DP12622 Religions, Fertility, and Growth in South-East Asia. 2018.
|
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