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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP12766 |
DP12766 Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability? | |
Kristin Forbes; Toni Ahnert; Christian Friedrich; Dennis Reinhardt | |
发表日期 | 2018-03-02 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Can macroprudential foreign exchange (FX) regulations on banks reduce the financial and macroeconomic vulnerabilities created by borrowing in foreign currency? To evaluate the effectiveness and unintended consequences of macroprudential FX regulation, we develop a parsimonious model of bank and market lending in domestic and foreign currency and derive four predictions. We confirm these predictions using a rich dataset of macroprudential FX regulations. These empirical tests show that FX regulations: (1) are effective in terms of reducing borrowing in foreign currency by banks; (2) have the unintended consequence of simultaneously causing firms to increase FX debt issuance; (3) reduce the sensitivity of banks to exchange rate movements, but (4) are less effective at reducing the sensitivity of corporates and the broader financial market to exchange rate movements. As a result, FX regulations on banks appear to be successful in mitigating the vulnerability of banks to exchange rate movements and the global financial cycle, but partially shift the snowbank of FX vulnerability to other sectors. |
主题 | International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
关键词 | Macroprudential policies Fx regulations Banking flows International debt issuance |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12766 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541575 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kristin Forbes,Toni Ahnert,Christian Friedrich,et al. DP12766 Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?. 2018. |
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