| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP12785 |
| DP12785 Democratic Tipping Points | |
| Antonio Ciccone | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-03-08 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | I examine whether transitory events can tip the scales against authoritarian regimes and lead to persistent democratization. I think of situations where this is a possibility as democratic tipping points. The transitory events I focus on are rainfall shocks in the most agricultural countries in the world. I show that while these shocks only affect agricultural output contemporaneously, they have persistent effects on political institutions. Authoritarian regimes experiencing negative rainfall shocks are more likely to be democratic three, five, and ten years later. |
| 主题 | Development Economics ; Macroeconomics and Growth |
| 关键词 | Transitory shocks Persistent democratization |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12785 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541594 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Antonio Ciccone. DP12785 Democratic Tipping Points. 2018. |
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