G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP12845
DP12845 The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada
Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou
发表日期2018-04-05
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Shocks to the demand for housing that originate in one region may seem important only for that regional housing market. We provide evidence that such shocks can also affect housing markets in other regions. Our analysis focuses on the response of Canadian housing markets to oil price shocks. We document that, at the national level, real oil price shocks account for 11% of the variability in real house price growth over time. At the regional level, we find that unexpected increases in the real price of oil raise real house prices not only in oil-producing regions, but also in other regions. We develop a theoretical model of the propagation of real oil price shocks across regions that helps understand this finding. The model differentiates between oil-producing and non-oil-producing regions and incorporates multiple sectors, trade between provinces, government redistribution, and consumer spending on fuel. We empirically confirm the model prediction that oil price shocks are transmitted to housing markets in non-oil-producing regions by the government redistribution of oil revenue and by increased interprovincial trade.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance
关键词Housing Regional heterogeneity Oil price Redistribution Resource boom Canada
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp12845
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541655
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lutz Kilian,Xiaoqing Zhou. DP12845 The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada. 2018.
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