| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP12962 |
| DP12962 Taxes and Growth: New Narrative Evidence from Interwar Britain | |
| Natacha Postel-Vinay; James Cloyne; Nicholas Dimsdale | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-05-29 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The impact of fiscal policy on economic activity is still a matter of great debate. And, ever since Keynes first commented on it, interwar Britain, 1918-1939, has remained a particularly contentious case --- not least because of its high debt environment and turbulent business cycle. This debate has often focused on the effects of government spending, but little is known about the effects of tax changes. In fact, a number of tax reforms in the period focused on long-term and social objectives, often reflecting the personality of British Chancellors. Based on extensive historiographical research, we apply a narrative approach to the interwar period in Britain and isolate a new series of exogenous tax changes. We find that tax changes have a sizable effect on GDP, with multipliers around 0.5 on impact and exceeding 2 within two years. Our estimates contribute to the historical debate about fiscal policy in the interwar period and are remarkably similar to the sizeable tax multipliers found after WWII. |
| 主题 | Economic History ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
| 关键词 | Macroeconomic policy Fiscal policy Taxation Public finance Fiscal history Multiplier Narrative approach |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12962 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541770 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Natacha Postel-Vinay,James Cloyne,Nicholas Dimsdale. DP12962 Taxes and Growth: New Narrative Evidence from Interwar Britain. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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