G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP13110
DP13110 Who Voted for Brexit? Individual and Regional Data Combined
Sascha O. Becker; Thiemo Fetzer; Dennis Novy
发表日期2018-08-12
出版年2018
语种英语
摘要Previous analyses of the 2016 Brexit referendum used region-level data or small samples based on polling data. The former might be subject to ecological fallacy and the latter might suffer from small-sample bias. We use individual-level data on thousands of respondents in Understanding Society, the UK's largest household survey, which includes the EU referendum question. We find that voting Leave is associated with older age, white ethnicity, low educational attainment, infrequent use of smartphones and the internet, receiving benefits, adverse health and low life satisfaction. These results coincide with corresponding patterns at the aggregate level of voting areas. We therefore do not find evidence of ecological fallacy. In addition, we show that prediction accuracy is geographically heterogeneous across UK regions, with strongly pro-Leave and strongly pro-Remain areas easier to predict. We also show that among individuals with similar socio-economic characteristics, Labour supporters are more likely to support Remain while Conservative supporters are more likely to support Leave.
主题International Trade and Regional Economics ; Labour Economics ; Public Economics
关键词Aggregation Ecological fallacy European union Populism Referendum Uk
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp13110
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541913
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sascha O. Becker,Thiemo Fetzer,Dennis Novy. DP13110 Who Voted for Brexit? Individual and Regional Data Combined. 2018.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Sascha O. Becker]的文章
[Thiemo Fetzer]的文章
[Dennis Novy]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Sascha O. Becker]的文章
[Thiemo Fetzer]的文章
[Dennis Novy]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Sascha O. Becker]的文章
[Thiemo Fetzer]的文章
[Dennis Novy]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。