| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP13117 |
| DP13117 What Drives the FOMC’s Dot Plots? | |
| Stefan Gerlach; Rebecca Stuart | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-08-16 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) releases quarterly its members’ views about what federal funds rate will be appropriate at the end of the current and the next two or three years, and in the “longer run.” We construct constant horizon interest rate projections one, two and three years ahead and use real-time data on 32 variables to study how these variables impact on the FOMC’s interest-rate setting. News regarding the labour market is particularly important. At the shortest horizon, prices and financial market news is also significant; at longer horizons, household’s financial situation also matters. |
| 主题 | Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
| 关键词 | Federal Reserve monetary policy Interest rate expectations Interpolation |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp13117 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541920 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Stefan Gerlach,Rebecca Stuart. DP13117 What Drives the FOMC’s Dot Plots?. 2018. |
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