| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP13122 |
| DP13122 Identifying Chinese Supply Shocks - Effects of Trade on Labor Markets | |
| Andreas Fischer; Philipp Herkenhoff; Philip Sauré | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-08-17 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In a seminal paper, Autor et al. (2013) estimate the effect of Chinese exports on U.S. labor markets. To establish causality, they instrument Chinese exports to the United States with Chinese exports to other advanced economies, assuming that demand shocks to advanced economies are uncorrelated. Our paper documents robust empirical patterns that are inconsistent with this identifying assumption. Based on a parsimonious structural model, we identify the part of sectoral Chinese export growth that is driven by China-specific supply shocks. An identification strategy based on our approach essentially preserves the estimates from the reduced form regression in Autor et al. (2013). However, in a general equilibrium model from Caliendo et al. (2019), our identification of the China shock implies more pronounced and more dispersed manufacturing employment losses and welfare gains. Finally, our identification realigns the sectoral employment losses with standard Heckscher-Ohlin theory. |
| 主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
| 关键词 | International trade Employment Instrumental variable |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp13122-1 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541925 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andreas Fischer,Philipp Herkenhoff,Philip Sauré. DP13122 Identifying Chinese Supply Shocks - Effects of Trade on Labor Markets. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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