| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP13122 |
| DP13122 Identifying Chinese Supply Shocks - Effects of Trade on Labor Markets | |
| Andreas Fischer; Philip Sauré | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-08-17 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In a seminal paper, Autor et al. (2013a) analyze the effect of Chinese exports on U.S. employment variables. To identify causality, Chinese exports to the United States are instrumented with Chinese exports to other advanced economies, an identification strategy that relies on the absence of common demand shocks to all advanced economies. Our paper first questions this identification assumption and then adjusts the reduced-form identification strategy in Autor et al. (2013a). In the first part, we document that China’s sector-level export growth correlates positively with that of other emerging market economies around and after China’s WTO accession. This positive correlation is inconsistent with the view that China-specific supply shocks dominated China’s sectorial export growth. In a second part, we develop an identification strategy derived from a parsimonious structural model. Our findings validate the estimated negative effects of Chinese import penetration on U.S. labor markets in Autor et al. (2013a). However, important differences arise when decomposing the China-specific supply shock effects by gender, education, and (non) manufacturing sector. |
| 主题 | International Trade and Regional Economics ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
| 关键词 | International trade Employment Instrumental variable |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp13122-0 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541926 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andreas Fischer,Philip Sauré. DP13122 Identifying Chinese Supply Shocks - Effects of Trade on Labor Markets. 2018. |
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