| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP13155 |
| DP13155 Rebel Capacity and Combat Tactics | |
| Konstantin Sonin; Austin L. Wright | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-09-03 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Classic and modern theories of rebel warfare emphasize the role of unexpected attacks against better equipped government forces. We test implications of a model of combat and information-gathering using highly detailed data about Afghan rebel attacks, insurgent-led spy networks, and counterinsurgent operations. Timing of rebel operations responds to changes in the group's access to resources, and main effects are significantly enhanced in areas where rebels have the capacity to spy on and infiltrate military installations. Results are supplemented with numerous robustness checks as well as a novel IV approach that uses machine learning and high frequency data on local agronomic inputs. Consistent with the model, shocks to labor scarcity and government surveillance operations have the opposite effect on attack timing. In addition, we investigate the impact of attack timing on battlefield effectiveness and find that it reduces soldier efficiency during missions to `find and clear' roadside bombs and increases bomb-related casualties to government troops. |
| 主题 | Development Economics |
| 关键词 | Economic shocks Civil war Rebel tactics Counterinsurgency Spy operations Colonel blotto game |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp13155-1 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/541958 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Konstantin Sonin,Austin L. Wright. DP13155 Rebel Capacity and Combat Tactics. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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