| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP12398 |
| DP12398 A Dynamic Theory of Secession | |
| Joan Esteban; Sabine Flamand; Massimo Morelli; Dominic Rohner | |
| 发表日期 | 2018-11-02 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper builds a dynamic theory of secessions, conflictual or peaceful, analyzing the forward looking interaction between groups in a country. The proposed framework allows us to jointly address several key stylized facts on secession, and generates several novel predictions. We find that if a group out of power is small enough, then the group in power can always maintain peace with an acceptable offer of surplus sharing for every period, while when there is a mismatch between the relative size and the relative surplus contribution of the minority group, conflict followed by secession can occur. Accepted peaceful secession is predicted for large groups of similar prosperity, and higher patience is associated to a higher chance of secession. We formulate as a result a number of policy recommendations on various dimensions of federalism and other institutions. |
| 主题 | Development Economics ; Public Economics |
| 关键词 | Secessions Conflict Surplus sharing Mismatch |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp12398-0 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542103 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Joan Esteban,Sabine Flamand,Massimo Morelli,et al. DP12398 A Dynamic Theory of Secession. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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