G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP13455
DP13455 Measuring Global Real Economic Activity: Do Recent Critiques Hold Up to Scrutiny?
[unavailable]
发表日期2019-01-15
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要Hamilton (2018) suggests that the Kilian (2009) index of global real economic activity is misleading and calls for alternative measures. The problem documented by Hamilton is a consequence of a coding mistake. Specifically, the index of nominal freight rates underlying the Kilian index was accidentally logged twice. Once this coding error is corrected by removing one of the log transformations, none of the concerns raised by Hamilton remains valid and the index may be used as originally intended. Moreover, it can be shown that the corrected index differs only slightly from the original index and that the key empirical results in Kilian (2009) and related studies remain unchanged when replacing the index.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance
关键词Global business cycle Shipping Commodity market Oil Log transformation
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp13455
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542270
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
[unavailable]. DP13455 Measuring Global Real Economic Activity: Do Recent Critiques Hold Up to Scrutiny?. 2019.
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