G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP13480
DP13480 The Phillips Multiplier
Régis Barnichon; Geert Mesters
发表日期2019-01-23
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We propose a model-free approach for determining the inflation-unemployment trade-off faced by a central bank, i.e., the ability of a central bank to transform unemployment into inflation (and vice versa) via its interest rate policy. We introduce the Phillips multiplier as a statistic to non-parametrically characterize the trade-off and its dynamic nature. We compute the Phillips multiplier for the US, UK and Canada and document that the trade-off went from being very large in the pre-1990 sample period to being small (but significant) post-1990 with the onset of inflation targeting and the anchoring of inflation expectations.
主题Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
关键词Marginal rate of transformation Inflation-unemployment trade-off Dynamic multiplier Instrumental variables Phillips curve
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp13480
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542294
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Régis Barnichon,Geert Mesters. DP13480 The Phillips Multiplier. 2019.
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