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来源类型 | Discussion paper |
规范类型 | 论文 |
来源ID | DP13480 |
DP13480 The Phillips Multiplier | |
Régis Barnichon; Geert Mesters | |
发表日期 | 2019-01-23 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We propose a model-free approach for determining the inflation-unemployment trade-off faced by a central bank, i.e., the ability of a central bank to transform unemployment into inflation (and vice versa) via its interest rate policy. We introduce the Phillips multiplier as a statistic to non-parametrically characterize the trade-off and its dynamic nature. We compute the Phillips multiplier for the US, UK and Canada and document that the trade-off went from being very large in the pre-1990 sample period to being small (but significant) post-1990 with the onset of inflation targeting and the anchoring of inflation expectations. |
主题 | Monetary Economics and Fluctuations |
关键词 | Marginal rate of transformation Inflation-unemployment trade-off Dynamic multiplier Instrumental variables Phillips curve |
URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp13480 |
来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542294 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Régis Barnichon,Geert Mesters. DP13480 The Phillips Multiplier. 2019. |
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