| 来源类型 | Discussion paper |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| 来源ID | DP13523 |
| DP13523 Pandemics, Places, and Populations: Evidence from the Black Death | |
| Mark Koyama; Remi Jedwab; Noel Johnson | |
| 发表日期 | 2019-02-12 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The Black Death killed 40% of Europe’s population between 1347-1352, making it one of the largest shocks in history. Despite its importance, little is known about its spatial effects and the effects of pandemics more generally. Using a novel dataset that provides information on spatial variation in Plague mortality at the city level, as well as various identification strategies, we explore the short-run and long-run impacts of the Black Death on city growth. On average, cities recovered their pre-Plague populations within two centuries. In addition, aggregate convergence masked heterogeneity in urban recovery. We show that both of these facts are consistent with a Malthusian model in which population returns to high-mortality locations endowed with more rural and urban fixed factors of production. Land suitability and natural and historical trade networks played a vital role in urban recovery. Our study highlights the role played by pandemics in determining both the sizes and placements of populations. |
| 主题 | Economic History |
| 关键词 | Black death Path dependence Cities Urbanization Malthusian theory. migration Growth |
| URL | https://cepr.org/publications/dp13523 |
| 来源智库 | Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542339 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mark Koyama,Remi Jedwab,Noel Johnson. DP13523 Pandemics, Places, and Populations: Evidence from the Black Death. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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