G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP13762
DP13762 The Macroeconomics of the Greek Depression
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich; Loukas Karabarbounis; Rohan Kekre
发表日期2019-05-28
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要The Greek economy experienced a boom until 2007, followed by a decade-long collapse with magnitude and persistence that have no precedent among modern developed economies. We assess quantitatively the sources of the boom and bust and the role of policies in an estimated dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous households and multiple production, banking, government, and external sectors. Demand from the rest of the world and the government fueled the boom in production, whereas realized and anticipated transfers fueled the boom in consumption. Contractionary tax policies, amplified by a decline in factor utilization and financial frictions, account for the largest fraction of the bust in production, whereas the rise of uninsurable idiosyncratic risk accounts for the largest fraction of the bust in consumption, decline in prices, and the sudden stop of capital flows. Fiscal policy amplified the depression by concentrating the burden of adjustment on taxes instead of spending and by raising the fraction of taxes that firms prepay before revenues are realized. By contrast, equity injections to banks mitigated the depression by lowering the cost of borrowing.
主题International Macroeconomics and Finance ; Macroeconomics and Growth ; Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
关键词Greek depression Productivity Fiscal policy Financial markets
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp13762-1
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542627
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich,Loukas Karabarbounis,Rohan Kekre. DP13762 The Macroeconomics of the Greek Depression. 2019.
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