G2TT
来源类型Discussion paper
规范类型论文
来源IDDP14032
DP14032 What drives implementation of the European Union’s policy recommendations to its member countries?
Guntram B. Wolff; Konstantinos Efstathiou
发表日期2019-09-30
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We use a newly-compiled dataset to investigate whether and why European Union countries implement the economic policy recommendations they receive from the EU. We find that implementation rates are modest and have worsened at a time when the economic environment has improved and market pressure on sovereigns has subsided. Implementation has deteriorated in particular among countries designated as having ‘excessive’ macroeconomic imbalances. We then empirically test three factors that could influence implementation rates: (i) the macroeconomic environment; (ii) pressure from financial markets; and (iii) the strength of EU-level macroeconomic surveillance. The econometric estimates indicate that larger fiscal and current account deficits and a higher probability of sovereign default increase the likelihood of implementation. However, stronger surveillance under the Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure (MIP) does not seem to drive implementation rates. The quality of governance, the fragmentation of government coalitions and fewer recommendations received are connected to increased implementation, whereas for countries under the MIP, implementation slowed during election years. Finally, recommendations on financial services have a much greater chance of being implemented, whereas those on broadening the tax base, the long-term sustainability of public finance and pension systems, and competition in services are much less likely to be implemented. Overall, economic fundamentals and political economy factors provide only a small part of the answer to the question of why countries reform: ultimately, reform decisions are down to factors outside of the models.
主题Research policy networks ; European Economic Architecture
URLhttps://cepr.org/publications/dp14032
来源智库Centre for Economic Policy Research (United Kingdom)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/542920
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Guntram B. Wolff,Konstantinos Efstathiou. DP14032 What drives implementation of the European Union’s policy recommendations to its member countries?. 2019.
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